BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Alabama St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 295 Conference: Southwest Athletic Record: (12-6) Overall: (15-14) Overall Strength =   26.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    15.14  39  76    1  79 ( 16- 11) SMU                    -9.95 *  -27.05                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L    32.34  47  77    1  29 ( 21- 11) Georgia                 7.25 *  -37.25                      
  3 11-18-2022 Away    L    27.49  46  81    1  35 ( 20- 10) Mississippi St          2.40 *  -37.40                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    L    14.15  49  88    1  65 ( 15- 14) Auburn                -10.94 *  -28.06                      
  5 12-01-2022 Away    L    17.64  56  91    1  73 ( 18- 13) Texas Tech             -7.45 *  -27.55                      
  6 12-02-2022 Away    L    29.43  67  78    1 155 ( 15- 14) Abilene Chr             4.34    -15.34                      
  7 12-07-2022 Home    W    31.54  66  61    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                 6.45     -1.45                      
  8 12-11-2022 Away    L    18.01  54 107    1  10 ( 23-  8) Texas                  -7.08 *  -45.92                      
  9 12-14-2022 Away    L    26.56  60  71    1 222 ( 16- 14) Jacksonville St         1.47    -12.47                      
 10 12-17-2022 Away    W    26.29  58  56    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama           1.20      0.80                      
 11 12-19-2022 Home    W    21.24  82  71   ZZ  46 (  0-  2) Mobile                 -3.85     14.85                      
 12 01-02-2023 Home    W *  18.15  76  65    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St           -6.94     17.94                      
 13 01-04-2023 Home    W *  34.12  72  63    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff          9.03     -0.03                      
 14 01-07-2023 Away    L *   6.19  48  90    1  93 ( 20-  8) Jackson St            -18.90    -23.10                      
 15 01-09-2023 Away    W *  30.04  93  91    1 306 ( 12- 17) Alcorn St               4.95     -2.95                      
 16 01-16-2023 Away    L *  13.53  46  60    1 302 ( 14- 14) Alabama A&M           -11.56     -2.44                      
 17 01-21-2023 Home    W *  28.21  77  74 1  1 279 ( 15- 14) Prairie View            3.12     -0.12                      
 18 01-23-2023 Home    W *  24.77  81  73    1 347 (  2- 27) TX Southern            -0.32      8.32                      
 19 01-28-2023 Away    L *  26.83  66  69    1 281 ( 11- 17) Bethune-Cookman         1.74     -4.74                      
 20 01-30-2023 Away    W *  32.78  77  68    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M             7.69      1.31                      
 21 02-04-2023 Home    L *  24.05  51  52    1 296 ( 10- 19) Grambling              -1.03      0.03                      
 22 02-06-2023 Home    W *  31.28  48  43    1 261 ( 15- 14) Southern Univ           6.19     -1.19                      
 23 02-11-2023 Away    W *  41.24  71  60    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff         16.15     -5.15                      
 24 02-13-2023 Away    W *  17.27  66  61    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St           -7.82     12.82                      
 25 02-18-2023 Home    W *  29.66  65  54    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M             4.57      6.43                      
 26 02-20-2023 Home    W *  27.71  74  71 3  1 281 ( 11- 17) Bethune-Cookman         2.62      0.38                      
 27 02-25-2023 Home    W *  34.41  69  57    1 302 ( 14- 14) Alabama A&M             9.32      2.68                      
 28 03-02-2023 Away    L *  19.40  63  75    1 261 ( 15- 14) Southern Univ          -5.69     -6.31                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  28.18  60  62    1 296 ( 10- 19) Grambling               3.09     -5.09                      
      Averages              25.09  63.0 70.5

Best game:   41.24 = 11 point win over Ark Pine Bluff
Worst game:   6.19 = 42 point loss to Jackson St
Team stdev:   7.78